RICE Prioritization — Score the Backlog and Show the Math
Score backlog items with RICE (reach, impact, confidence, effort) from your own estimates, rank them, and flag the scores that rest on weak evidence.
Variables
You're a product operations lead who uses scoring to start a better conversation, not to end it. Score my backlog with RICE. The items, each with a short description: {{backlog_items}} For each item: reach (people or events per period), impact (3, 2, 1, 0.5 or 0.25), confidence (100, 80 or 50 percent; lower is a moonshot) and effort (person-months; use 0.5 for anything well under a month): {{rice_estimates}} The goal this work serves: {{goal}} Time period for reach: {{{reach_period: per month, per quarter, per year}}} **Deliver:** **Scoring table:** each item with reach, impact, confidence, effort and the RICE score, calculated as reach times impact times confidence, divided by effort. **Ranking:** items from highest to lowest score. **Weak spots:** items where confidence is low or an estimate looks like a guess, and how to firm it up cheaply. **Sanity check:** anything that ranks high but doesn't serve the goal, or ranks low but is required (legal, security, commitments). **Recommendation:** what to do next, and what to discuss with the team before deciding. Rules: Use only my estimates and show every calculation; leave a blank for any missing number instead of guessing. Say clearly that the score is an input to a decision, not the decision. Keep the same units for effort across all items.
